送交者: cruiser 于 May 15, 2019 09:27:48:[新观察/xgc2000.org]
回答: 贸易战中，听美国农场主诉苦 由 徽 于 May 14, 2019 23:21:03:
But real one is to be absolutely avoided.
Actually I was long surprised by Americans benign attitude to china. Of course there were outside factors, such as American focus on Arab and Russia, but a big one is American underestimation of china, typically as Biden recently said.
Many years ago I already imagined why Hollywood had not made an anti china movie, only a red dawn had to be changed to North Korea. Now I am predicting soon such a movie will really be made.
When Russia was sanctioned heavily, I asked if china had ever prep for similar treatment. Obviously not, xi thought every American leader would be just like Obama . He kept saying big country to big country relation, like a G2. American never mention it.
The bottom line:
This conflict is destined to happen, if dent still alive, he could have easily foreseen this. Jiang was rumored to have panicked when 1989 and 2001 incidents happened, I don,t think xi bahaved any better. Now good lesson, get prepared. The harder is yet to come. Economic pain is fine, Chinese endure better than Americans, way better. But not military one, please, that would be real real disaster for anyone.